I have read, on a blog, that blogging will be replaced by one of the new technologies of communication such as podcasting, or videocasting. I am sceptical.
I have participated in preparation of several films, and recently I have edited video. I have recorded audio and prepared the MP3 files, and made it availiable on the web. Both are time consuming to prepare, and at least for me, they would be reserved for presentations. But writing a few thoughts down, and sending it out takes but a few minutes. I think it will last not because it is the latest new thing, but because it is continues the old art of letter writing.
Blogging is often compared to keeping a diary, or a journal. But the form has more in common with correspondence. We are writing letters to each other, and they are "open" letters at that. Paul the tent making church planter might have some pointers, I think the blog is a lot like an epistle.


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